Kamala Harris Overtakes Biden In Prediction Markets, Has Trump’s Opponent Changed?
Kamala Harris has recently surged ahead of President Joe Biden in the prediction markets. This marks a significant shift in the political landscape as the 2024 U.S. presidential election race intensifies. However, the fight between Republican candidate Donald Trump and Biden isn’t over yet.
Kamala Harris Oversteps Biden In Betting Markets
On Predict It, Kamala Harris U.S. 2024 election winning bets surged to 22 cents while Biden’s dropped to 21 cents. Furthermore, Trump took the lead with a major gap as the bet was priced 59 cents on his win. Nevertheless, it could be too early to deem Harris as Trump’s ultimate opponent.
According to a new Reuters poll, President Biden is now neck-and-neck with his Republican challenger, Donald Trump, in the upcoming November election. This poll also reveals a shifting sentiment among Democrats, with approximately one-third believing Biden should consider stepping aside following a ‘ridiculous’ debate performance.
The debate in question has sparked internal discussions among Democrats. Moreover, some Biden loyalists are now questioning his viability for re-election in 2024. In addition, sources within the party indicate that Vice President Kamala Harris is emerging as the preferred candidate to step in should Biden decide to withdraw from the race.
Biden recently offered an explanation for his debate performance, admitting he “wasn’t very smart” for undertaking extensive travel before the event. “I didn’t listen to my staff… and then I almost fell asleep on stage,” he remarked during an event with Representative Don Beyer. “It’s not an excuse, but an explanation,” he added.
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The U.S. Election Race Intensifies
The political momentum appears to be shifting towards Trump, who now holds a 3-point advantage over Biden in key battleground states and a 2-point lead nationally. This change underscores a critical dynamic in the race: voter motivation. Currently, Republicans show higher enthusiasm, with more indicating they will “definitely” vote compared to their Democratic counterparts.
Over 90% of Biden and Trump supporters are firmly opposed to voting for the other candidate. Despite this strong partisan divide, the overall stability of the election race has not significantly changed. Biden experienced a brief uptick in support in June after Trump was convicted of felonies in New York. However, this did not significantly alter the broader election dynamics.
In light of the recent debate and shifting polls, the Democratic Party faces a pivotal decision regarding its candidate for the 2024 election. Kamala Harris’s rise in the prediction markets signals growing support within the party and among political analysts. If Biden’s campaign continues to face challenges, Harris may become the Democratic frontrunner.
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