Cardano (ADA) Price Invalidates Month-Long Resistance: Price Impact

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Cardano’s (ADA) price breaking out of the month-long resistance line could support a rise to $5 and beyond.

The investors support this outcome, which is evident in the rise in their convictions and potential accumulation.

Cardano Investors See an Opportunity

Cardano’s price has been influenced by its investors’ behavior, which could be ADA’s saving grace. The supply has seen a notable shift from short-term investors to mid-term investors. The former tend to hold their supply for less than a month while the latter HODL for up to a year.

In the span of three weeks, the supply of short-term traders has dipped from 21.64% to 14.23%. This decline below 15% is evidence of investors’ increasing conviction motivating ADA holders to HODL instead of sell.

At the same time, mid-term holders now hold 50.63% of all ADA. This is crucial because short-term investors are more prone to sell, and a move from them to mid-term holders is a sign of confidence.

Cardano Supply Distribution. Source: Into TheBlock

This bullishness could likely increase going forward, as seen by the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. The MVRV ratio assesses investor profit or loss.

Cardano’s 30-day MVRV sits at -8.4%, signaling losses, potentially prompting accumulation. Historically, ADA corrections occur within the -8% to -18% MVRV range, labeling it an opportunity zone.

Cardano MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

Thus, if investors opt to add ADA to their wallets, the altcoin could see considerable growth.

ADA Price Prediction: Breakout Is Key

Cardano’s price, trading at $0.46 at the time of writing, is close to closing above the resistance at $0.46. Flipping it into support is key, enabling ADA to rise to $0.50. The altcoin has only breached it twice but never exceeded the month-long resistance at $0.51.

With the help of the aforementioned cues, Cardano’s price could break out of this resistance to head toward $0.55 and beyond.

Cardano Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, another failed breach could result in ADA falling back down below $0.46. This would mark a decline to $0.42, which will invalidate the bullish thesis, sending ADA to $0.40.